NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7419cb89bf1e3e21c263d795aa5d58f8b735b94e416be929d248071987afaca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Pacers | 54c | 43,092$23,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,902.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 46c | 26,834$12,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,388.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 49c | 11,534$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.39 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.28 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c458backed Pacers | 51c | 5,656$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…01c0backed Bulls | 49c | 5,656$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…85bdbacked Bulls | 49c | 5,475$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…0a0bbacked Pacers | 51c | 5,350$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…e053backed Pacers | 51c | 5,350$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec6…bc63backed Bulls | 49c | 5,200$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d2…069cbacked Pacers | 51c | 5,200$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers | 50c | 4,845$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.42 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 47c | 4,782$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…ec51backed Pacers | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…0615backed Bulls | 49c | 4,350$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…5e2dbacked Bulls | 49c | 4,231$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9e67backed Bulls | 49c | 3,850$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…12bdbacked Bulls | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1af…d81abacked Pacers | 51c | 2,850$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…74e5backed Pacers | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…3895backed Pacers | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Pacers | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 51c | 2,334$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 47c | 2,085$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Bulls | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Pacers | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pacers | 51c | 1,653$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.94 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 50c | 1,565$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bulls | 47c | 1,336$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 53c | 1,212$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.36 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Bulls | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Pacers | 53c | 1,131$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pacers | 52c | 1,120$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.38 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…eba2backed Bulls | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Pacers | 54c | 998.02$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 49c | 885.25$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Pacers | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Pacers | 51c | 881.59$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.98 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7dd1backed Pacers | 51c | 880$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 46c | 844.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…ae34backed Bulls | 49c | 755$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bulls | 47c | 697.19$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 51c | 600.84$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…c535backed Bulls | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 47c | 556.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…aed4backed Bulls | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf554…3614backed Bulls | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls | 47c | 395$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 51c | 358$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Bulls | 47c | 332.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Bulls | 47c | 307.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bulls | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…3904backed Bulls | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Bulls | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Pacers | 50c | 277.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls | 47c | 259.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bulls | 47c | 230.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bulls | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Bulls | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Bulls | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Bulls | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…d25cbacked Pacers | 53c | 187.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 46c | 180.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Bulls | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Pacers | 50c | 130.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Pacers | 51c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Bulls | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Bulls | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bulls | 48c | 111.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Bulls | 71c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Bulls | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Pacers | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bulls | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Pacers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 43c | 90.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pacers | 44c | 88.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 46c | 84.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Pacers | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Pacers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bulls | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Pacers | 51c | 70.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Bulls | 59c | 69.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Pacers | 18c | 64.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 58c | 57.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Pacers | 44c | 54.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bulls | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 30c | 53.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Bulls | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 47c | 50.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Bulls | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Pacers | 52c | 45.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pacers | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Pacers | 48c | 43.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. PacersPacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Coby White: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.