TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,500,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,696,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,500,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes58c553,269$319,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319,587.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x808d…c1babacked Yes42c154,342$64,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,793.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c107,574$61,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,106.093,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes56c106,385$59,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,575.675846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No44c100,000$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,0002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Yes58c81,031$47,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,308.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No44c69,406$30,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,762.572245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No61c66,196$40,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,770.964553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No42c64,170$26,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,338.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c62,830$33,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,339.6484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No41c60,000$24,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,4001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No44c56,118$24,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,462.622065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No43c32,000$13,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,2401942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No42c29,816$12,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,386.8633847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No45c27,957$12,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,376.343444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No43c26,240$11,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,986.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c20,550$8,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,915.5144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No41c20,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7502152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No42c20,000$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No41c20,000$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,849.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No42c18,692$7,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,841.523450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No41c17,500$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,32515947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No44c14,417$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,073.692951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No43c12,339$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,016.058245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes39c11,736$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.64141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No42c11,111$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,444.382339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No44c10,909$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c10,772$4,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.9391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c10,235$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,725.8243344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No42c9,925$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,756.535158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No44c9,130$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,112.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c9,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.9820050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No42c7,965$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No43c7,965$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.031650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No42c7,080$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,106.382343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5b…6eb8backed Yes59c6,948$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Yes50c6,051$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes58c4,637$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.23745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No58c4,636$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.9752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No45c3,711$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.765343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Yes57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes39c3,508$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.727554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes6c3,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No44c3,450$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.185532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes58c3,420$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1886…f032backed Yes53c3,052$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7405545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9904037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7407143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes38c2,771$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.831631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes56c2,695$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes57c2,633$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.641030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No43c2,630$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No41c2,597$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.5574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No45c2,427$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed No42c2,337$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c2,281$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.9227939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Yes61c2,187$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No44c2,177$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.122347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No46c2,085$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c2,064$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.692,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No41c2,041$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.0133055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No42c2,036$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.713455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c1,983$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.6919934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c1,983$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No45c1,844$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed No70c1,829$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.472250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No45c1,815$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No42c1,770$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.591650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No43c1,770$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.771136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes54c1,600$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8652665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes52c1,508$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.923630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7358742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes30c1,500$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No40c1,372$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes5c1,257$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.73944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a1…db34backed No47c1,197$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No42c1,149$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.4513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes11c1,140$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes41c1,114$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.262437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+388.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb547…dc81backed No47c1,034$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed No65c1,000$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No43c979$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.031770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes60c900.2$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5110…2695backed Yes40c894.3$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.