NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486510d0ed64f97df7427b0150f7dcfe11990457d968ac701dec10a0e568e570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $649,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 47c | 415,509$195,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,220.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 53c | 309,084$163,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,814.58 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 54c | 136,500$74,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,142.15 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 46c | 87,258$39,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,393.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 53c | 12,119$6,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.87 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heat | 53c | 9,999$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.47 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 46c | 8,759$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Magic | 48c | 8,363$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.27 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Heat | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Magic | 47c | 7,483$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.99 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Magic | 49c | 6,425$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.39 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…4fa8backed Magic | 49c | 5,288$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…3442backed Magic | 49c | 5,057$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 46c | 4,937$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29f…5b81backed Magic | 49c | 4,755$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 46c | 4,736$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…cd92backed Magic | 49c | 4,655$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…4860backed Magic | 49c | 4,155$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Heat | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 49c | 3,837$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…0c13backed Heat | 51c | 3,797$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 46c | 3,286$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…81c0backed Heat | 51c | 2,790$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f2…b95dbacked Heat | 51c | 2,620$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 47c | 2,558$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 54c | 2,379$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…1046backed Heat | 51c | 2,279$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1072…a1cbbacked Heat | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…152cbacked Heat | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…6788backed Magic | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Magic | 48c | 1,975$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.42 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…5a85backed Heat | 51c | 1,652$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Heat | 54c | 1,630$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.44 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…80babacked Heat | 51c | 1,587$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…adbebacked Heat | 51c | 1,577$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…2459backed Heat | 51c | 1,574$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…0e7bbacked Heat | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Heat | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 52c | 1,258$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Heat | 53c | 1,226$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Magic | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Heat | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.6 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Heat | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Magic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Heat | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Magic | 47c | 880.24$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Heat | 71c | 849.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…119bbacked Heat | 51c | 812$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…637ebacked Heat | 51c | 785$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Heat | 53c | 687.76$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.51 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Magic | 46c | 589.74$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Heat | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 53c | 478.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 52c | 469$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 50c | 416.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Heat | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Heat | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Heat | 53c | 377.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Heat | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd818…b2eabacked Heat | 51c | 351.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Heat | 53c | 339.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Heat | 55c | 327.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e23…8972backed Heat | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Magic | 42c | 271.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Magic | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 43c | 246.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc7…4880backed Heat | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Heat | 53c | 226.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Magic | 46c | 215.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Magic | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Magic | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Heat | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Heat | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Heat | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Magic | 46c | 197.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 47c | 148.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e08…5708backed Heat | 51c | 146$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Heat | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Heat | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Magic | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Magic | 46c | 120.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Magic | 47c | 112.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Magic | 46c | 110.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Heat | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Heat | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Heat | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Heat | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Heat | 53c | 93.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)this page
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.