NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb113857d2ab15003218bf60055eccfcb10fba9c2978a4c46bf9eb7833d94f780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Magic | 51c | 32,189$16,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,910.53 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 50c | 18,967$9,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,483.34 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Heat | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 49c | 7,034$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Heat | 49c | 6,327$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 48c | 5,117$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.47 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 48c | 5,078$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.4 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Heat | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 50c | 4,753$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.44 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Magic | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Heat | 47c | 4,190$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.79 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 48c | 3,888$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 52c | 3,502$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 51c | 2,408$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 54c | 2,206$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Magic | 46c | 2,099$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.47 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Magic | 53c | 1,936$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Heat | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Magic | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Heat | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 51c | 1,500$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Heat | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Heat | 49c | 870$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 52c | 857.52$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.61 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Heat | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 52c | 522.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 49c | 521.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Heat | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 50c | 494$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 50c | 445.86$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Heat | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Heat | 51c | 379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Magic | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Heat | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Heat | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 47c | 177.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Magic | 52c | 143.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…164ebacked Magic | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Magic | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Heat | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Heat | 51c | 130.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 52c | 129.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 50c | 126.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Heat | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Magic | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Heat | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Heat | 50c | 94.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Magic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…dc78backed Magic | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…9949backed Magic | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…4c95backed Magic | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Heat | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…3d27backed Magic | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Magic | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Magic | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Magic | 51c | 52.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Heat | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Heat | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Heat | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Heat | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Magic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4436backed Magic | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…5c15backed Magic | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…78d3backed Magic | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Heat | 48c | 46.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Heat | 48c | 45.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…c8fbbacked Heat | 50c | 41.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Heat | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Magic | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…08afbacked Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Heat | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Magic | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…bbaebacked Magic | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Magic | 50c | 35.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…245dbacked Magic | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heat | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Heat | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Heat | 49c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…e961backed Heat | 50c | 22.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Magic | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Heat | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Magic | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…c93fbacked Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)this page
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.