NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135c0b464e53b6a34eea987536b5083a44c9ec763a159e3b7d03b263719590ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,140,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,273,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Heat | 58c | 155,171$89,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.15 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Magic | 42c | 83,449$34,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,521.82 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Magic | 42c | 75,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,500 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 42c | 50,000$20,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,249.8 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Heat | 58c | 48,000$27,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,840 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Magic | 42c | 44,634$18,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,920.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 44c | 24,882$10,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,864.29 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Magic | 44c | 21,930$9,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,308.35 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 44c | 20,541$9,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,426.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Magic | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.91 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Heat | 59c | 19,910$11,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,747.01 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 67c | 19,530$13,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.07 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…03efbacked Magic | 43c | 18,032$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,327.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed Heat | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,439.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 43c | 17,601$7,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,628.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 57c | 17,541$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 42c | 17,187$7,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,012.2 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…842ebacked Heat | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 42c | 12,832$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.34 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 41c | 12,500$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,331.68 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Heat | 58c | 11,843$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 58c | 11,669$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked Heat | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Heat | 58c | 10,838$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.03 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Heat | 58c | 10,012$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.96 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Heat | 58c | 10,003$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.85 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heat | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 42c | 9,999$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.36 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 42c | 9,994$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 59c | 9,927$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heat | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 43c | 8,893$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.15 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Heat | 47c | 8,731$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Magic | 66c | 7,537$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.28 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 40c | 7,388$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Heat | 59c | 6,125$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.75 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 58c | 6,119$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Heat | 59c | 6,063$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 73c | 6,050$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 56c | 5,679$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.24 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Magic | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 50c | 5,219$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.09 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 43c | 5,166$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.79 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 52c | 5,010$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Magic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Heat | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.88 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Magic | 38c | 4,915$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.64 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Magic | 41c | 4,787$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.11 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Magic | 40c | 4,556$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.1 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Heat | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heat | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Heat | 58c | 3,944$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.49 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…d075backed Heat | 58c | 3,727$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Magic | 42c | 3,702$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.99 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Heat | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 57c | 3,288$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.16 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Magic | 43c | 3,200$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 41c | 3,189$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 2c | 3,135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…390fbacked Magic | 42c | 3,094$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 57c | 3,035$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Heat | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Heat | 50c | 2,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…644ebacked Heat | 58c | 2,971$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Heat | 58c | 2,906$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.59 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Magic | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Heat | 57c | 2,893$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.21 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…b872backed Magic | 42c | 2,792$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Heat | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.99 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Heat | 57c | 2,619$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.11 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Heat | 57c | 2,618$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Heat | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…c269backed Heat | 58c | 2,569$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…7043backed Magic | 42c | 2,513$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Magic | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…e6b7backed Magic | 42c | 2,446$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat | 59c | 2,400$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Magic | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Heat | 58c | 2,323$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 57c | 2,287$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.82 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Heat | 62c | 2,223$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.9 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 46c | 2,081$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 2,061$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Heat | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Magic | 43c | 1,987$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Magic | 54c | 1,843$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.87 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Heat | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Magic | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Heat | 59c | 1,726$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.15 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 58c | 1,719$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.93 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 61c | 1,715$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.81 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Heat | 59c | 1,714$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.13 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Magic | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Heat | 29c | 1,703$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.33 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Heat | 39c | 1,699$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.32 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Magic | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Heatthis page
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.