TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over56c71,160$40,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,095.4121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c26,592$12,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,204.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c23,458$10,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,548.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under45c17,476$7,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,842.581,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over51c13,821$6,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,832.484355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c9,295$4,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,461.760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over57c8,669$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.3520849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under45c8,500$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.4235942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c7,241$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa341…04a3backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.155550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under58c3,585$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.428348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under44c3,077$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.871,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c2,834$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d1e…4365backed Under45c2,620$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.9550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over49c2,524$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.3621250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Under48c2,482$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.286756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Over49c1,900$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9692748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c1,301$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c1,147$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.512,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under44c1,010$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5522643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over56c983$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c673.75$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.271,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c604.32$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under43c505$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.11,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c476$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c400$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c321.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c305.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.013,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c278.84$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under47c273.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under51c233.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under45c221.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under46c211.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3325951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under46c185.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under45c181$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under44c180.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.962,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c155.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over57c154.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.161,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under28c152$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081f…9fcdbacked Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c126.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.12,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over51c105.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over57c94.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over51c74.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.415743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Under48c68.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.763151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under48c68.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.764351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under45c61.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Under47c56.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.897723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over55c44.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0514949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3616036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.869642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c41.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9239041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under50c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Under46c36.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7216443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7114751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under47c33.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5725143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.682,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over57c27.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.840960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over51c24.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Under48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under53c20.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.933552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Over51c19.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.793145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.