NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959ab7d840a66480b6ad6150bb268d70ab0824edf4e4e79790ed3ea47d4af4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 56c | 71,160$40,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,095.41 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 26,592$12,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,204.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 23,458$10,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,548.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 45c | 17,476$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.58 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 51c | 13,821$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.48 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 9,295$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.7 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 57c | 8,669$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.35 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 45c | 8,500$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.42 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 7,241$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.47 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…04a3backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 58c | 3,585$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.42 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 44c | 3,077$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 2,834$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…4365backed Under | 45c | 2,620$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 49c | 2,524$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.36 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Under | 48c | 2,482$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.28 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Over | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 1,301$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.3 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,147$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 44c | 1,010$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.55 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 56c | 983$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.52 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 673.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.27 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 604.32$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 505$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 45c | 476$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 321.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 305.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 278.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 47c | 273.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 51c | 233.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 45c | 221.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 46c | 211.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 46c | 185.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 45c | 181$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 180.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 155.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 57c | 154.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 28c | 152$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…9fcdbacked Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 126.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 51c | 105.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 57c | 94.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 51c | 74.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Under | 48c | 68.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Under | 48c | 68.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 45c | 61.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Under | 47c | 56.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 55c | 44.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 41.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 46c | 36.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 33.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 57c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 51c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 229.5this page
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.