TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7109…a765

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST7154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will SD Eibar vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick58cpaid-79.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$14.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$75.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Mar Fan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$4.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.