CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f7c818d49f5a657bbd786ee6ef494e0ad784c28952c734686ac4f1e149a591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Natus Vincere, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 16,198$12,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,686.78 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 8,858$6,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,686.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 6,874$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.34 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Monte | 21c | 5,538$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.26 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Monte | 19c | 5,075$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.28 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte | 24c | 4,742$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.23 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Monte | 20c | 4,690$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.34 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 29c | 4,451$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.22 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 3,883$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 29c | 2,942$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,526$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.82 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Monte | 36c | 2,393$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.23 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte | 25c | 2,079$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.47 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Monte | 17c | 1,829$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.18 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,685$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Monte | 30c | 1,610$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.33 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Monte | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…a21fbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Monte | 19c | 1,339$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.38 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,240$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.4 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,195$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Monte | 32c | 1,136$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.32 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Monte | 17c | 1,100$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…8f4abacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,030$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 26c | 1,029$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.09 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 869.31$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.26 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked Monte | 24c | 866.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Monte | 17c | 825.23$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Monte | 12c | 816.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.23 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 814.71$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.46 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 802.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Monte | 22c | 702.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.14 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…d0f1backed Monte | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 587.67$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 568.14$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 561.11$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.77 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 558.48$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Monte | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…b612backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 384.66$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…4136backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 380.25$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Monte | 20c | 365.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked Monte | 13c | 351.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 347$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Monte | 29c | 343.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 319.12$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 310.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Monte | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Monte | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 290.34$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Monte | 31c | 275.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed Monte | 19c | 262.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Monte | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Monte | 22c | 224.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Monte | 22c | 222.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Monte | 25c | 221.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 217.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 204.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Monte | 12c | 200.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Monte | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Monte | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Monte | 32c | 198.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 193.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 188.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Monte | 11c | 184.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Monte | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Monte | 35c | 157.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…344cbacked Monte | 15c | 147.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Monte | 22c | 140.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 127.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Monte | 23c | 126.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Monte | 39c | 118.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5c…43c8backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Monte | 34c | 108.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked Monte | 26c | 107.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Monte | 61c | 105.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Monte | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Monte | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked Monte | 22c | 98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Monte | 22c | 97.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Monte | 20c | 92.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Monte | 25c | 91.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…5050backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 90.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 90$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 87.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 84.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 83.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…966cbacked Monte | 23c | 81.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 76.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)Monte won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.