TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5d6…532c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.41
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.15
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.8%+$3.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+50.8%+$16.18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$116.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+74.1%+$31.92
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74.14
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.9%+$33.41
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.49
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26.22
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20.54
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$61.39
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$197.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+74.6%+$9.83
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$119.37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.8%+$201.73
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+68.3%+$23.53
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$123.32
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.6%+$6.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+120.4%+$146.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+27.4%+$14.19
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+95.3%+$139.02
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.8%+$45.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.3%+$59.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+148.1%+$69.84
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+59.4%+$165.47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$158.45
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.53
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.1%+$81.3
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.87
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+84.1%+$32.89
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$175.27
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+116.4%+$35.64
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36.2%+$23.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37.7%+$18.08
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.73
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+97.8%+$27.2
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$484.17
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.12
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.7%+$110.13
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+186.7%+$44.67
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+70.8%+$53.04
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+98.4%+$49.6
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+98.6%+$86.38
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+64.4%+$8.23
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$240.01
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$87.51
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.72
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.03
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$281.1
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$193.74
All 7 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.65
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.3%+$29.93
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50.18
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$211.6
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.2%+$69.86
All 6 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$126.21
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$458.62
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$411.83
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$53.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$82.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+128.9%+$99.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.2%+$17.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.