NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e6c048ce543a980037e66ee98379246420037e7aff58c0458438bc2160027f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Ravens, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $916,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,160,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $916,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ravens | 46c | 527,763$243,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243,034.59 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Browns | 54c | 462,808$249,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,902.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Browns | 54c | 72,794$39,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,485.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Browns | 52c | 35,809$18,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,188.47 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ravens | 49c | 20,870$10,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,226.27 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ravens | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Browns | 52c | 12,450$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Browns | 52c | 10,563$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.24 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Browns | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Browns | 54c | 6,581$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.16 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Browns | 52c | 3,893$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ravens | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Browns | 53c | 2,592$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.27 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Browns | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Ravens | 47c | 2,099$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.87 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ravens | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.61 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns | 51c | 1,995$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.87 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Browns | 54c | 1,931$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Ravens | 62c | 1,590$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Browns | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Browns | 74c | 1,454$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.17 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 52c | 1,428$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.48 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens | 49c | 1,312$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.51 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Browns | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Browns | 52c | 1,234$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.23 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Browns | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Browns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Browns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Browns | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Ravens | 63c | 916.83$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Ravens | 48c | 625.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Browns | 54c | 505.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Browns | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Browns | 54c | 467.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Browns | 54c | 440.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Ravens | 47c | 432.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Browns | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Browns | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Browns | 54c | 375.17$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Browns | 54c | 372$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Browns | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…a726backed Browns | 54c | 309.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…8b3abacked Ravens | 47c | 309.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ravens | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Browns | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6bfbbacked Ravens | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Browns | 54c | 276.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Ravens | 47c | 259.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…ffafbacked Browns | 55c | 249.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…e968backed Ravens | 47c | 235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Ravens | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ravens | 47c | 217.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Browns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Browns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Browns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…8f1cbacked Browns | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked Browns | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Ravens | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Browns | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Ravens | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Ravens | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Browns | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Ravens | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Ravens | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Browns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Ravens | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Browns | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…6a4abacked Browns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Browns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Browns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Browns | 51c | 87.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed Ravens | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Ravens | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…f8e4backed Browns | 54c | 80.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…ab7dbacked Browns | 54c | 80.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed Browns | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Browns | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Browns | 55c | 71.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Browns | 54c | 63.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…cf43backed Ravens | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Browns | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Ravens | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Browns | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…c060backed Browns | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Browns | 53c | 48.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…45c5backed Browns | 54c | 47.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Browns | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Browns | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…f940backed Ravens | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Browns | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed Browns | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…8629backed Ravens | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Browns | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Browns | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…45debacked Browns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…6e2cbacked Browns | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…966ebacked Ravens | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Ravens | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-8.5)this page
- Ravens vs. BrownsRavens won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 38.5Over won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 39.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.