TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x74d6…c060

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+101.6%+$50.4
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+566.7%+$170
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO1)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$44
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+309.1%+$68
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$66.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State vs. Tulsabacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$132
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$58.28
South Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.94
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$220
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$54.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$171.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.