TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.1925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c8,148$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f15…599fbacked Under48c6,229$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c4,300$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.671,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cef…ce24backed Under48c4,271$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.589946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c2,156$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.342,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under52c2,071$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.646046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c1,752$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.941,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over53c1,600$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7605560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c1,515$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.9615952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under21c1,199$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.311,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.983839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.55625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c658.21$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2708643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26013054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Over54c444$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.248742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under46c388.66$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over54c320.37$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3710139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c312$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8829259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c287.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over53c283.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabba…d488backed Over49c282.71$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…c060backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c213.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.981,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over48c212.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.384656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over48c206.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2423435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under53c188.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over67c184.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0514252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…81b9backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Under47c179.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5912646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c125.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.781,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.218052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.78257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9913656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.597642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over55c91.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over58c86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49e7…56ffbacked Under46c82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2911…2ac3backed Under46c81.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under19c78.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…6fb4backed Over54c77.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819c…397cbacked Under46c74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over55c73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.856845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c6…38a9backed Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…bb4abacked Over53c67.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.873941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over49c65.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.312236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under50c63.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7813941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under45c62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over55c58.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over50c55.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5937036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over46c47.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.532454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.179231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under47c46.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2835743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5646…2e01backed Over54c38.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c37.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4630554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7411060.9%67 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd586…87cfbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…427fbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x980b…8bfabacked Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e22…77a0backed Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256c…211dbacked Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7648…1fcebacked Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7910…004cbacked Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a3…64a6backed Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df8…8bb2backed Under46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3614045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241c…5407backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3610539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.