Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ec8d63fa5abca3fb160d05b46f6818ecc7f234bb623ab904f681f187a86c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 6,761$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 5,776$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 79c | 5,061$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.52 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 78c | 4,997$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.36 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 21c | 1,838$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.52 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 22c | 938.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 20c | 562$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Over | 79c | 506.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 22c | 500.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 77c | 356.81$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Over | 78c | 284.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…efdabacked Over | 77c | 259.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 76c | 255.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Over | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…451dbacked Over | 78c | 191.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Over | 78c | 178.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Over | 79c | 159.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 23c | 153.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 75c | 138.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 24c | 132.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…e3e1backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 78c | 119.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 23c | 113.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 13c | 94.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 78c | 90.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Under | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Over | 79c | 76.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…187ebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 78c | 65.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…f012backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Over | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 23c | 55.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…4c15backed Under | 24c | 55.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…4ddfbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Over | 76c | 49.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…eac2backed Over | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…89e0backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…ca60backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…e896backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 77c | 25.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…d00ebacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…e721backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…69aabacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.