Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x035704e0384c1d06f0e85d3fb4fff5b96c38dfb193bd708fb611f6b28c102c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 11,139$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 6,940$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.5 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,867$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 70c | 734.32$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.62 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Over | 62c | 679.03$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 41c | 608$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.72 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 546.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 31c | 520.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.16 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 71c | 499.26$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 408.68$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 72c | 335$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 30c | 333.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 70c | 284.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Over | 33c | 153.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 35c | 148.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 63c | 144.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 72c | 138.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 45c | 126.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 47c | 111.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 63c | 106.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…217fbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 41c | 92.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Under | 63c | 88.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 68c | 81.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…ecb1backed Over | 33c | 76.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Over | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…7cd8backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 67c | 52.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 51.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 62c | 40.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 69c | 39.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…5898backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Under | 58c | 27.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 43c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…ec0abacked Under | 47c | 21.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 58c | 20.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8fafbacked Under | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…4804backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.