Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e593627f7d758cedcdbf4da6af3ce2a42edcd84c81679555991e0eec0184a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 4,045$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.69 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 2,756$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 2,625$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 2,192$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 55c | 1,828$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.36 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 1,021$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.21 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 65c | 784$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 66c | 583.2$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 63c | 570$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 40c | 519.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 462.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 65c | 305.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked No | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…73bcbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 46c | 131.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 19c | 123.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…41f9backed Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 46c | 113.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked No | 48c | 108.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…4572backed Yes | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 46c | 79.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed No | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…adf5backed No | 43c | 52.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 54c | 51.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…5f1fbacked No | 44c | 47.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed No | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…f783backed Yes | 61c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb40…2975backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked No | 48c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…4540backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…b5b7backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 56c | 31.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…00f8backed Yes | 62c | 29.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…21f7backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 55c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9969backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…3187backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.