TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc995…25c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+203%+$49.42
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.03
Fulham vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.79
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.2
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+203%+$26.8
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.35
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wolves vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.79
SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+203%+$52.44
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Parma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Juventus vs. Torino: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$13.4
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$50.66
Inter vs. Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.6
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Lecce vs. Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Fiorentina vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$49.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$73.91
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.32
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.61
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Harold Mayotbacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.5%+$21.98
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$13.73
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Zizou Bergsbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.33
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.61
Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.43
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+150%+$52.5
CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+225.8%+$27.73
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.19
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.91
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$26.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on October 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.