TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Zizou Bergs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bergsof Michelsen, Bergs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bergs69c5,012$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.724544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Michelsen19c4,450$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.775339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Bergs45c4,233$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.8621147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Michelsen49c4,164$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.5311343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Bergs50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0006036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Bergs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9602147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd297…2c15backed Michelsen42c3,549$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Michelsen43c3,051$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.1715832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Michelsen26c2,144$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.82050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Michelsen54c2,040$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.851,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Michelsen56c1,986$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.117152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Bergs51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5886126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Bergs51c1,178$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.9747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Michelsen50c1,104$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Michelsen7c1,068$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.762119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Michelsen26c1,055$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9812947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen52c1,027$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Michelsen33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Michelsen66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Michelsen49c989.66$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.222,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Bergs51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.25632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bergs45c954.08$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2216644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Bergs51c790$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.311843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Michelsen57c702.99$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6457645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Michelsen45c687.38$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.121,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Bergs54c661.98$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…05b4backed Michelsen50c622.95$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.482133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bergs50c592.95$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+85.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Michelsen28c592.86$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Bergs51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Bergs53c532.08$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.089961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Michelsen54c516.82$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5924558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Michelsen26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Michelsen32c500$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16122737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Michelsen40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Bergs45c499.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27640141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Bergs50c474.38$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.175547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Michelsen49c457.77$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1530339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Michelsen49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.925050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Bergs52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19418943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Michelsen36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Michelsen50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Michelsen26c395.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.28248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Michelsen61c360$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.85362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Bergs51c343.12$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.132227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9015…de85backed Bergs76c340.04$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Michelsen15c310.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Michelsen47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Bergs50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13010251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Michelsen64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8396…e909backed Bergs43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Michelsen44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michelsen47c227.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.731,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Michelsen21c220$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Michelsen7c210.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-69.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Michelsen25c205.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3924529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Michelsen49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Michelsen50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae9…a216backed Michelsen27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Michelsen55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Bergs58c172.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Michelsen22c147.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bergs64c146.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.518,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Bergs75c142.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+71.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Michelsen64c108.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7110372.8%75 W · 28 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b53…1fa3backed Michelsen64c100.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.63650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Bergs46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Bergs47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.56055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f5…78e7backed Bergs47c97.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Michelsen22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Michelsen26c84.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Bergs48c83.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.982,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Michelsen25c82.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5760%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Bergs50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Bergs54c74.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.392751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Michelsen45c69.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.497432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Michelsen48c64.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Michelsen31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcedc…7351backed Michelsen49c61.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed Michelsen52c60.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.682626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Bergs65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.943948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8545…25d0backed Bergs49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Michelsen34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Bergs50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Bergs50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2531255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Michelsen73c49.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Bergs42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8b…9ad2backed Michelsen48c47.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3922…18b0backed Bergs52c47.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Michelsen50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Michelsen32c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6706…e61cbacked Bergs48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc256…aba2backed Michelsen49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206759.7%40 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3af5…c533backed Bergs49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a2d…82f1backed Bergs60c40.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.073450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f42…5b96backed Bergs50c37.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.662867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad1…acf4backed Bergs50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Bergs43c32.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5638356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Bergs62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc995…25c2backed Michelsen63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.