Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61cba34d92474b5a5aeb87967f964e3ee57a252e1c6a9debb520fa82a58b3664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 39c | 37,731$14,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,016.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 28,714$17,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,053.44 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 61c | 16,271$9,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,948.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 62c | 6,537$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 38c | 5,721$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,644$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 3,496$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.39 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 40c | 3,190$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,347$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 44c | 1,433$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 41c | 1,202$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 1,162$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 41c | 1,108$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 63c | 1,094$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 60c | 875$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 41c | 869.04$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Yes | 41c | 843.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 63c | 733.95$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 651$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.1 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 63c | 641.24$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 41c | 491.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 485$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 40c | 375.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 45c | 375$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 67c | 351.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 41c | 317.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 28c | 267.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 38c | 239.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 206.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 40c | 195.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…4362backed No | 62c | 190$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed Yes | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 42c | 165.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 158.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 154.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 152.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…cff7backed Yes | 40c | 128.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 44c | 107.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 38c | 105.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Yes | 39c | 99.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…9c9abacked Yes | 39c | 95.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 40c | 89.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 65.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 50.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 40c | 45.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…81aabacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1435…cbfcbacked Yes | 39c | 26.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 60c | 26.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…7592backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-10-27?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.