Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07b024e41cdb50c791b2ca747c165116ce3286172b101cede601f3cc108c04d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 16c | 19,999$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 17c | 9,455$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.38 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Yes | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,711$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.62 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 17c | 2,260$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.86 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fd01backed Yes | 17c | 2,200$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 16c | 1,950$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 9c | 1,886$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…914ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…510dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,469$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 17c | 1,304$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 16c | 999.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 17c | 805.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 16c | 790.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 6c | 569.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 542.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 410.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 17c | 405.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 403.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 13c | 383.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…b851backed Yes | 17c | 382.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 5c | 360.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…2f34backed Yes | 17c | 225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 17c | 200.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 18c | 149.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f0cdbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 17c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd409…1e3fbacked Yes | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…aba5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…060fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…675fbacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…cd40backed Yes | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…0146backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…7e70backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.