Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5129d7d92575a15de160c10e7c80c6e04e416e3583258ca7027cfb8b0f3ca3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc95…8533backed Yes | 23c | 10,010$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…95bfbacked No | 77c | 10,001$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 70c | 8,753$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.78 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…4da5backed Yes | 24c | 5,830$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 5,114$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 29c | 4,249$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.93 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ca73backed Yes | 24c | 4,170$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…f570backed No | 76c | 3,950$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…759abacked No | 76c | 3,420$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…7fc7backed No | 76c | 2,633$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 30c | 2,353$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 61c | 1,543$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.6 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…3f7cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,416$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…dbebbacked No | 77c | 1,416$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…5375backed Yes | 55c | 1,119$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 826.79$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.03 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…54e7backed Yes | 68c | 635.74$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 530.51$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 24c | 511.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 506$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 23c | 478.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 43c | 370.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 315$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 47c | 281$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 19c | 266$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…b851backed Yes | 24c | 262.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 51c | 218.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 25c | 160.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 24c | 136.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 54c | 122.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f0cdbacked Yes | 18c | 112.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…fe72backed Yes | 19c | 99.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 24c | 85.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 85.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6174…fbcabacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…46bebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 24c | 52.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 76c | 35.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…03aabacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…31afbacked No | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 55c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.