TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes61c43,763$26,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,950.3720039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c39,234$16,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,029.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c31,871$12,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,648.3321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes61c27,311$16,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,616.893644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No38c16,132$6,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,130.166149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No39c15,600$6,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,084.3820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes60c12,572$7,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,986.327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No40c10,155$4,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.4215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9004250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No39c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No67c9,906$6,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,590.8811155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c8,573$5,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.721,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No38c5,321$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.6531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c5,010$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95430851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes62c4,999$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.6450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No39c4,845$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.1210236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes62c4,502$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.868958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No38c4,300$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes57c3,567$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.2110455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No37c3,336$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.371540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No38c3,240$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.617256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes73c3,007$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No38c2,904$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.235758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No39c2,610$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.1290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No38c2,475$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.7248150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No24c1,445$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c1,421$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.084,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c1,256$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.931,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No40c1,230$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49210849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes61c1,207$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.563844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes59c1,000$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes62c960.06$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0617748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6722125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c809$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.721,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ed3…07c9backed Yes61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c655.28$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3538040.5%154 W · 226 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No23c645.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.161060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes58c615.96$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No27c593.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes61c579.19$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes63c565.16$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1618433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5230050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No38c554.97$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8921548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes61c501.46$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed No42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b7…4717backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Yes40c498.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb1…0441backed Yes61c498.2$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.873435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No39c416.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes61c409.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.895848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes60c382.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes61c360.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.666150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes62c359.5$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6113552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes62c330$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.458445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes61c329.07$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3418740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes32c304.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3910333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1175160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No42c273$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.662441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.912639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes62c227.94$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.623540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes38c209.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.731,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes62c190$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.28851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes58c189$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes63c180.63$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8311044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No40c172.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2313543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes61c170.82$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.622646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x990b…7ac3backed Yes60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f35…7637backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes61c169$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9139561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x340d…1335backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0878…8757backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes61c163.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.969151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes61c163.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.953948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ae…b6e3backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292572%18 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+88.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa14…ebb0backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da8…fe8dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…60afbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.