South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4671d00551bdc94bbd7b73bb8b8cbb6c17f835bf1f9871a69f5acb8e7f5eaf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 65c | 2,613$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.49 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 1,485$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Yes | 5c | 1,477$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 65c | 1,095$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 1,093$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.04 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 927.43$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 9c | 866.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 824.92$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…81ebbacked No | 66c | 816.65$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 758.05$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 60c | 753.97$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 57c | 524.56$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 30c | 433.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 378.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 309.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 297.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 35c | 279.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 25c | 260$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 34c | 206.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 20c | 156.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 36c | 148.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 34c | 116.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 34c | 109$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…f337backed No | 66c | 99.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 34c | 96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 66c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 66c | 81.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 18c | 72.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 69c | 63.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…7834backed No | 79c | 58.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 36c | 51.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Yes | 71c | 50.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 72c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 37c | 32.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 65c | 31.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 35c | 30.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…e092backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed No | 47c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 57c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?Yes won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.