South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d011ac6d25ffc179248bb336df3295cb1023f6132bf31d0bfc33b062cb307b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 14,598$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,758.8 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 13,192$8,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,162.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 45c | 11,076$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 71c | 11,076$7,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 8,783$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 6,723$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 6,148$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 4,667$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.02 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 2,382$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 27c | 1,499$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 1,316$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.76 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 45c | 1,089$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.96 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 46c | 894.92$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 60c | 705.46$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…f90bbacked Yes | 40c | 540$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 40c | 494.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.33 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 415.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 75c | 399.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 40c | 385.09$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 66c | 380.77$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 346.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 54c | 335.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 39c | 294.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 63c | 226.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 36c | 199.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked No | 5c | 196.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 62c | 163.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 59c | 160.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 46c | 152.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 147.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Yes | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 33c | 104.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 40c | 96.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 39c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 61c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 71c | 88.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 59c | 88.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 60c | 82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 44c | 61.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 30c | 57.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 39c | 50.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked No | 27c | 50.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…3407backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…ad0fbacked Yes | 40c | 45.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…6d32backed No | 61c | 45.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 72c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 45c | 33.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 40c | 25.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 60c | 22.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…745bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…2ba2backed No | 61c | 18.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.