South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23fcdf728d11fb06bed9af1a4a34401ae81b9daeee8c14363e6553f3179e737c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Yes | 14c | 5,681$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,740$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 6c | 999.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 6c | 999.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 805.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 9c | 596.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 18c | 516$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 21c | 477.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 6c | 419.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 365.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 12c | 336.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 14c | 269.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 80c | 258.39$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 8c | 213.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…6d32backed Yes | 25c | 157.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 17c | 137.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 79c | 124.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…01c8backed Yes | 23c | 116.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 21c | 93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…3da0backed Yes | 28c | 89.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ef…3591backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 74c | 61.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Yes | 27c | 52.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 23c | 51.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 47.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 26c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 74c | 43.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 79c | 36.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…3b1bbacked No | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 72c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 70c | 27.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…89d9backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 76c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.