TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac0c…2551

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.19
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.36
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+163.2%+$130.53
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$46.45
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.54
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.99
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$31.15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.77
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Utah State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.61
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
UMass vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thailand win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.