Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2978abe3f3f8113f9371ae2254a74b663bc56af41ad5ab46cf2d08f397b01f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 5c | 8,224$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.08 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 69c | 2,257$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 971$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 828$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 32c | 514.76$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 309.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 70c | 286.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 70c | 286.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 71c | 267$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 30c | 246.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 70c | 217.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 31c | 156.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 149.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 70c | 137.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…4ec7backed Yes | 70c | 90.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 30c | 88.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 34c | 60.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 69c | 52.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…011cbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…81a7backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…2ea7backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…1be5backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.