Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d38ccdfbb5c380fe50b019cb54c09ffdc2c22bb410510ac6109f708dc0ce495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 14,158$5,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,211.35 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,909$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 59c | 2,460$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 41c | 2,345$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 1,130$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.47 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 47c | 869.69$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 49c | 601$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 47c | 404.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed No | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 58c | 331.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 64c | 310.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 213.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 149.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 59c | 118.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 42c | 87.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 76.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 48c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…f340backed Yes | 63c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…029abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…9655backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Silkeborg IF vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-10-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.