College Football · resolved market
UMass vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe12be5fe5426fec1b49f44333b0fc4c976dfb6c53e45a439ef421055652ea0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof UMass, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed UMass | 48c | 20,645$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UMass | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 19,009$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.14 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 14,165$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.34 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed UMass | 49c | 12,083$5,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.94 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UMass | 46c | 6,499$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.54 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 3,301$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 3,288$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.02 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 3,138$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.93 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed UMass | 46c | 2,145$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.73 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 1,978$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.68 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 1,644$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.71 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed UMass | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 1,588$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.42 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UMass | 48c | 1,331$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.78 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked UMass | 1c | 968.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UMass | 13c | 480.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UMass | 44c | 445.77$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…d898backed UMass | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…bdbabacked UMass | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…d782backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6156backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 352.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed UMass | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 307$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed UMass | 7c | 238.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UMass | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UMass | 46c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked UMass | 14c | 112.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked UMass | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UMass | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 82.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 79.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 65.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked UMass | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked UMass | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed UMass | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…4cf0backed UMass | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…e223backed UMass | 46c | 36.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UMass | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…2dd1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…3438backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe464…050dbacked UMass | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…9e2fbacked UMass | 45c | 34.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…2629backed UMass | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…4f99backed UMass | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UMass | 44c | 30.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…fcabbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 29.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626c…1379backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…9741backed UMass | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…8a5dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 58c | 26.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked UMass | 42c | 26.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…b038backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…f1bdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d8…c371backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…93b1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed UMass | 46c | 24.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…e9babacked UMass | 46c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UMass vs. Kent State Golden Flashesthis page
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-2.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-3.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.