TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc360…e9ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$21.68
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+203%+$128.64
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$85
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
Hurricanes vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.54
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.87
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.17
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.46
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.93
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$34.81
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+124.8%+$33.87
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.7
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.11
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$13.8
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+91.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.67
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.23
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.49
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.59
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.33
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.64
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$13.64
Appalachian State vs. Georgia Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.72
UMass vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$15.62
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$20.19
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.82
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$43.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$26.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.