TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,591 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14ac…cb21backed Red Wings56c30,109$16,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,860.9821755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings39c30,000$11,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,55042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Canadiens44c17,513$7,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,807.34944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Canadiens45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25044848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Canadiens44c14,760$6,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,265.5816743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Canadiens78c10,599$8,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.286764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings57c10,500$5,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,93589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens43c6,369$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.381,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Canadiens44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.933655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Red Wings11c3,797$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2118237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Canadiens44c3,385$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.9510356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Canadiens44c3,010$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.62250%11 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Red Wings56c2,411$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.153237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Red Wings56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Red Wings1c2,300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens45c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens64c1,895$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Wings56c1,862$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.7257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Red Wings56c1,716$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96115646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens43c1,578$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.241,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings2c1,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings57c1,241$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.6264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Red Wings55c1,010$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.3125446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Red Wings5c1,001$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.012114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Canadiens45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb067…9249backed Red Wings56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8211245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Canadiens64c675.67$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.840550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens44c592$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Wings56c565$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.420147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Red Wings23c541.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6411435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens44c530.08$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings55c512.7$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Canadiens44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings55c499.96$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings55c495.47$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.511,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Red Wings21c475.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.945633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Red Wings19c475.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.279149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Canadiens45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4412844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings53c410.85$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2442…53fabacked Canadiens44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Red Wings42c388.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.754753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Red Wings56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Canadiens43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.56162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff8c…ed91backed Canadiens44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Red Wings55c350$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.56648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Wings55c349.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4821147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Red Wings33c308.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.482965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Canadiens43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17175946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Red Wings56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16836652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens44c279.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7774951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Canadiens45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.672030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Red Wings56c221.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12414148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Red Wings55c178$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Canadiens45c166.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.463250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62da…5b1abacked Canadiens45c152.42$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f8…71c0backed Red Wings56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…1578backed Canadiens45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…d053backed Canadiens45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae48…8bebbacked Canadiens45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df3…63a9backed Red Wings56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1684…a590backed Canadiens45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09de…759fbacked Red Wings56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31d…c010backed Canadiens45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…87b3backed Red Wings56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3b…c872backed Canadiens45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e4…26e6backed Red Wings56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ba…5f03backed Red Wings56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings55c148.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9172448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Canadiens44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.361,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens51c133.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Wings56c133$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.481,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4af…217dbacked Canadiens79c126.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c24…8c06backed Red Wings43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…c12bbacked Canadiens45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Canadiens47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5326136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Red Wings56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617644.9%79 W · 97 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcda0…f685backed Canadiens47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Canadiens44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked Canadiens44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Red Wings55c97.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Wings34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd4…8b85backed Red Wings23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings56c81.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens44c76.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings24c72.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.641,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Canadiens45c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Red Wings56c53.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Canadiens78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142144.4%187 W · 234 L-28.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Canadiens43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56338.1%24 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Canadiens43c46.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7878038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…3be6backed Canadiens44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1bb…c285backed Red Wings56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f1…c502backed Canadiens45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445742.1%24 W · 33 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x295c…a424backed Canadiens45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.