NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811df1e5331e63beaaf94b0154d616f7f592e815c0d447d8220f1038d7b6b2ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 55c | 16,253$8,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,939.36 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Bucks | 63c | 14,600$9,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330.32 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks | 45c | 8,075$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.25 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heat | 35c | 7,637$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.85 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…ea02backed Bucks | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Bucks | 39c | 5,107$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.67 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…bfd4backed Bucks | 43c | 4,655$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 55c | 4,651$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.96 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks | 45c | 4,331$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.11 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…e4c8backed Heat | 57c | 4,195$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bucks | 72c | 3,490$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.63 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked Bucks | 43c | 3,030$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…e36ebacked Heat | 57c | 2,985$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Heat | 74c | 2,767$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…a8e2backed Heat | 57c | 2,630$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…4f2fbacked Heat | 57c | 2,630$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Heat | 41c | 2,495$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a7a0backed Bucks | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…94ccbacked Heat | 58c | 2,305$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Heat | 55c | 2,196$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bucks | 45c | 2,168$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.22 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bucks | 48c | 2,067$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.37 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 45c | 2,008$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Bucks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 2c | 1,988$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Bucks | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Bucks | 43c | 1,827$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.52 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked Heat | 57c | 1,825$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…12e2backed Heat | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…acd2backed Heat | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bucks | 38c | 1,532$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.73 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 1,477$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Heat | 63c | 1,422$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Heat | 62c | 1,345$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 43c | 1,256$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.63 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bucks | 45c | 1,154$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.04 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bucks | 35c | 1,099$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.24 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Bucks | 45c | 1,091$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.09 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 31c | 955.61$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.97 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Heat | 61c | 945$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.45 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bucks | 41c | 901.75$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.01 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 43c | 791.72$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.75 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Heat | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Bucks | 45c | 659.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 64c | 600$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.62 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Bucks | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Bucks | 70c | 567.09$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Heat | 33c | 529.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9c4bbacked Heat | 60c | 490$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +132%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…a531backed Bucks | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bucks | 31c | 442.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.73 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bucks | 45c | 440.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.02 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Bucks | 44c | 433$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Bucks | 45c | 430$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Heat | 59c | 427.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Bucks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Heat | 61c | 412.06$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Heat | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 38c | 388.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Bucks | 26c | 356.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Bucks | 45c | 356.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Bucks | 45c | 332.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Heat | 60c | 331.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Heat | 61c | 327.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bucks | 44c | 320.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…75febacked Heat | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bucks | 42c | 300$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…4d37backed Bucks | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bucks | 42c | 294.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 50c | 277.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Bucks | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bucks | 45c | 269$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 39c | 254.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bucks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Bucks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Heat | 47c | 245.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Heat | 10c | 238.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Heat | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Bucks | 45c | 225.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…98c9backed Bucks | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +201%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…817abacked Heat | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Bucks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 58c | 209.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…efa6backed Bucks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…a83dbacked Heat | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Bucks | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Heat | 57c | 199.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Bucks | 31c | 192.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Bucks | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Heat | 54c | 179.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Heat | 57c | 174.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Heat | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Bucks | 52c | 168.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…0932backed Bucks | 43c | 165.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Heat | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Heat | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Bucks | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Heat | 31c | 143$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.