TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$764,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$866,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No30c82,303$25,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,230.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes75c80,201$60,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,073.871457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No25c70,880$17,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,943.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No18c35,037$6,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,734.4724657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No25c33,864$8,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,397.973046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes76c26,300$19,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,988.242770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes57c25,762$14,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,637.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No25c18,403$4,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,886.183839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No24c17,901$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,617.022835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No25c17,133$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,849.846940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No25c14,700$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,024.876429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes76c13,976$10,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,619.122737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13de…e133backed Yes75c13,808$10,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,35610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No24c13,200$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,031.986033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No25c10,106$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,579.423237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes76c10,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes54c9,501$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No10c8,864$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,993.723417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes74c8,705$6,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,442.0617543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe219…8cc8backed Yes76c7,640$5,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,806.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes75c7,573$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.75240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No25c6,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No36c5,784$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.064841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f09…b474backed No26c5,673$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+110.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes75c5,630$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.920033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes76c5,263$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No24c5,125$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7503259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.9738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No25c4,786$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.132030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No57c4,435$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.0924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Yes75c4,135$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No26c4,133$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.421931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked No26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c3,685$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.7933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes77c3,667$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No26c3,562$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No26c3,373$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.35837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No25c3,256$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.631850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Yes75c3,133$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes75c3,129$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No26c3,013$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes34c2,835$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.363033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a44…30c4backed Yes76c2,613$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes76c2,574$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No24c2,533$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.2313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Yes74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes59c2,487$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes76c2,466$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf52a…6abebacked Yes76c2,443$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No23c2,400$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.9211832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes74c2,323$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.02825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b6…3eacbacked No25c2,322$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+170.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes75c2,300$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No24c2,244$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.449651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c2,104$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.471,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked No25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes29c1,999$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.713511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No24c1,916$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes63c1,911$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes35c1,900$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…b616backed Yes75c1,810$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes17c1,800$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes76c1,799$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.942781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes63c1,662$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.662646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes76c1,611$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.68548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes75c1,556$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1672161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d95…9d3cbacked No26c1,523$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85ec…57d6backed Yes75c1,523$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes68c1,490$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…df11backed Yes76c1,475$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes75c1,467$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Yes76c1,464$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.54666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16c…60e9backed Yes75c1,443$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No25c1,360$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No26c1,326$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.27933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes76c1,320$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No25c1,320$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9908058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes77c1,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.812334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes9c1,299$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.328457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3498…ef20backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes78c1,296$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.8824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes75c1,250$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes75c1,200$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes75c1,179$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.811526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfaed…5e81backed Yes76c1,118$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0219…61e7backed Yes76c1,079$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No24c1,024$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.3220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No25c1,009$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.8520827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Yes77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.