Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf041cd6925d8a0d8c0e966c7d53174e93ec31d1454660f70f8c3f684ab8bf5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 8c | 17,307$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.52 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,034$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.41 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 8c | 10,565$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.49 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 3,955$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 9c | 2,953$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 75c | 2,491$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…57e6backed Yes | 8c | 1,572$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 1,542$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 7c | 1,378$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 8c | 1,289$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,219$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,212$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…ebecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 9c | 991$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…ee68backed Yes | 12c | 842.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 6c | 729.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 8c | 716$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 44c | 689.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 583.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.98 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…60e9backed Yes | 77c | 580$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…07c7backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes | 78c | 385.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 29c | 349$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 8c | 310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 7c | 283.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 9c | 228.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…0dd6backed Yes | 79c | 222$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 211.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 9c | 211$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 10c | 206.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…66a3backed Yes | 9c | 186.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 10c | 154.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…ecdabacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 8c | 148$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 11c | 137.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 29c | 72.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…83ffbacked Yes | 56c | 39.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcac3…d090backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.