Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d9a171b98d49a952e80239ef3f49b862ac4b36599e9df6b4714ba5db012fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 13,161$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,258.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…178fbacked Yes | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 2,276$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.64 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 32c | 1,296$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.13 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,112$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.43 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 977.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 50c | 616.41$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…6355backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +266.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…1579backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 307.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 17c | 259.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 17c | 211.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 42c | 199.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 17c | 128.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4a…8494backed Yes | 16c | 112.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Yes | 65c | 92.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1405backed Yes | 55c | 88.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…da8bbacked Yes | 63c | 75.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 28c | 70.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x496e…5690backed Yes | 58c | 37.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 72c | 34.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…6abebacked Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.