TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72cb…542e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$103.78
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$68.79
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+34.4%+$78.42
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$92.39
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+156.4%+$234.62
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74.21
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$227.53
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69.2
Jazz vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.29
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$87.44
Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$80.88
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$77.57
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$17.78
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$53.43
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$197.42
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$105
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.65
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.55
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$43.21
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$176.69
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$186.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+94.7%+$30.95
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$36
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.29
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.36
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$227.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$236.26
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$77.5
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$97.73
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97.95
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$172.7
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.23
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$203.5
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$36.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$115.09
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$91.49
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$110.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$56.64
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+83%+$70.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.