NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85432f1954f8271e2f0c1c168594bf2804664028ca4cdcf8338afaf6a61447ba

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $322,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $321,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,220 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	50c	120,154$60,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,077	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under	50c	120,000$60,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,000	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	52c	59,429$30,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,647.85	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	26,645$12,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,949.34	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over	51c	23,623$11,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,653.19	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	48c	15,255$7,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,361.96	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	50c	12,949$6,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,474.41	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	48c	10,579$5,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,121.18	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,569.9	379	54.1%205 W · 174 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under	47c	6,037$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,837.26	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under	51c	4,912$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under	51c	4,551$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320.92	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	51c	3,879$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.65	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	37c	3,873$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,433.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	50c	2,999$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.07	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under	51c	2,916$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea3…be9abacked Under	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	45c	2,400$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.99	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over	57c	2,300$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.97	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over	49c	2,214$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.97	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	51c	2,065$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.31	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	48c	2,034$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.07	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	2,011$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.17	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Over	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	50c	1,984$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.91	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Over	50c	1,981$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.78	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	1,831$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.5	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	50c	1,660$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.2	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	44c	1,602$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.13	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under	44c	1,592$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.57	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under	7c	1,590$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.29	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	51c	1,471$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.59	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Under	35c	1,111$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.53	191	49.7%95 W · 96 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	48c	1,094$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.12	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	48c	1,093$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.64	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	12c	980.83$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.88	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	69c	900$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.34	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	47c	862.06$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.32	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under	51c	779.68$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	54c	629.63$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.63	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over	50c	600.77$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.39	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over	56c	600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	50c	590.73$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.37	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under	39c	569.08$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.55	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	514.31$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.07	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under	49c	499.99$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.24	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under	50c	456$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc529…438fbacked Under	43c	439.95$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under	44c	427.27$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under	10c	415.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.44	377	55.2%208 W · 169 L	+23.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	133	54.1%72 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+7.9wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+29%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03c4…01bdbacked Over	51c	389.79$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.79	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under	48c	375.09$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1254…641dbacked Under	51c	372.75$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37e…5fbfbacked Over	51c	372.55$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.55	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over	55c	360$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over	50c	320$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe68…0895backed Over	50c	315.66$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.83	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under	48c	313$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.24	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	49c	299.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.99	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	55c	262$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.9	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	50c	256.45$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.11	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…f917backed Under	45c	224.67$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72cb…542ebacked Over	56c	209.97$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.39	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over	50c	209$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.5	102	70.6%72 W · 30 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d2f…6cadbacked Under	50c	204$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Over	74c	202$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.69	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2001…29b8backed Under	8c	201.38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	29c	199.47$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.97	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Under	44c	199$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.05	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under	45c	177.78$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under	50c	174.8$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.4	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under	40c	173.63$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.31	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	32c	173.38$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.26	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	51c	172.55$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	47c	168.87$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.37	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Over	50c	162$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event