NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146863161fb14fe2a147837deb17ed2200eb5131f03f219164df1b497ee50278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9315…a744backed Suns | 53c | 21,000$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…a00abacked Heat | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 50c | 11,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 52c | 8,418$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 48c | 8,303$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Suns | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heat | 50c | 3,681$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.41 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 48c | 3,436$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 50c | 3,239$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Suns | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 52c | 2,631$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Heat | 48c | 2,287$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.41 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…ed6cbacked Suns | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…ff56backed Heat | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Heat | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…796dbacked Suns | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Heat | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Suns | 52c | 2,066$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 48c | 2,041$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.41 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Heat | 47c | 2,005$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…3114backed Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Heat | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…9120backed Heat | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…00f6backed Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…5ecebacked Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 51c | 1,802$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…6cadbacked Heat | 49c | 1,665$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Heat | 49c | 1,086$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Heat | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.04 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 49c | 1,001$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Heat | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…ca74backed Heat | 47c | 963$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Suns | 51c | 950.98$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Heat | 48c | 941.67$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.67 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…24b9backed Heat | 47c | 940$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 50c | 896.2$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 47c | 849.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d6…ebbdbacked Heat | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 49c | 715.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.91 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Suns | 5c | 652.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Heat | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Suns | 44c | 413$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Suns | 51c | 412$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Suns | 51c | 399.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09f…5368backed Suns | 53c | 370$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…e488backed Suns | 53c | 342$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…ba4abacked Suns | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat | 48c | 318.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…7163backed Suns | 53c | 301$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…0aa3backed Suns | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 50c | 280.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…efbebacked Suns | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Suns | 54c | 278.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…7a6cbacked Suns | 53c | 274$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 51c | 273$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…3ff6backed Suns | 53c | 270$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…1cf1backed Suns | 53c | 270$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Heat | 48c | 267$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Suns | 51c | 236.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Suns | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…0899backed Suns | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Suns | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8712…8c47backed Suns | 50c | 215.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Heat | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Suns | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Heat | 52c | 193.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Suns | 54c | 192.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 35c | 178.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Heat | 51c | 162.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Suns | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Heat | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Heat | 51c | 145.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Suns | 52c | 139.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Suns | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Heat | 50c | 131.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…cb14backed Suns | 53c | 130.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Heat | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Suns | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 47c | 123.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Suns | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Heat | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…c738backed Suns | 50c | 112.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Suns | 46c | 106.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Suns | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-0.5)Heat won
- Suns vs. HeatHeat won
- Suns vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Suns vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Suns vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.