NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6651a25ceb8da478eabdacc6c32eaf2261db08da37cb318f51d34e9ddc9dc12f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Suns, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,887,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,902,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,887,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Suns | 49c | 179,600$87,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,808.82 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Suns | 48c | 146,363$70,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,248.92 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Suns | 50c | 119,990$59,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,995 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 51c | 117,680$60,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,114.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Suns | 48c | 104,167$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Heat | 52c | 67,372$35,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,338.53 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 36c | 65,395$23,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,385.57 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 52c | 51,797$26,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,880.83 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Heat | 52c | 50,000$26,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,899.99 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 52c | 43,515$22,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,951.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 51c | 43,027$21,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,783.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 50c | 39,895$19,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,947.29 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 50c | 36,195$18,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,986.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 78c | 33,913$26,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.91 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Heat | 49c | 33,383$16,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,025.14 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 51c | 29,500$15,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,359.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Suns | 48c | 28,390$13,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,650.15 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 66c | 24,017$15,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,108.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat | 52c | 22,298$11,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,592.18 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Suns | 49c | 22,222$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.77 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 11c | 21,986$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.5 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Suns | 31c | 21,192$6,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,565.55 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Heat | 52c | 20,900$10,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Heat | 51c | 20,204$10,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,842.02 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 51c | 20,045$10,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,822.05 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Heat | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…6ff7backed Heat | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…19f0backed Suns | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Heat | 48c | 19,007$9,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,804.7 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Heat | 52c | 18,260$9,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,674.36 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Suns | 39c | 18,216$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.35 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Suns | 35c | 18,008$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.1 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 56c | 17,050$9,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat | 51c | 17,000$8,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,290 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 73c | 16,293$11,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.81 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Suns | 1c | 16,135$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 50c | 16,078$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,980.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Suns | 47c | 15,511$7,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.52 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Heat | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Heat | 51c | 14,578$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.98 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…f8b5backed Suns | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Suns | 58c | 13,413$7,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,822 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Heat | 51c | 13,239$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.21 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Suns | 48c | 13,001$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,187.92 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Heat | 52c | 12,123$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.87 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 75c | 11,515$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 53c | 11,400$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Suns | 49c | 10,907$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.13 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Suns | 1c | 10,877$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Suns | 47c | 10,170$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.9 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Suns | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Heat | 52c | 9,643$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 68c | 9,469$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.04 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Heat | 49c | 9,386$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.03 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 9,126$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Suns | 48c | 8,922$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.12 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 29c | 8,709$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Heat | 53c | 8,625$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.97 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Suns | 35c | 8,536$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.5 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…394abacked Heat | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…3f8ebacked Suns | 50c | 8,300$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Suns | 4c | 8,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…8618backed Suns | 50c | 8,026$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Suns | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 50c | 7,928$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 52c | 7,900$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Suns | 31c | 7,358$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.3 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 50c | 7,276$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Suns | 38c | 6,606$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Heat | 48c | 6,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.05 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Suns | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 32c | 6,500$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 50c | 6,482$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Suns | 77c | 6,455$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…8292backed Suns | 49c | 6,140$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Heat | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Heat | 50c | 5,856$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.31 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns | 31c | 5,667$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.89 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heat | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Heat | 51c | 5,602$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Suns | 31c | 5,392$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.86 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Suns | 50c | 5,367$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.45 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Suns | 48c | 5,345$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…fe2dbacked Heat | 50c | 5,110$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Heat | 63c | 5,038$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.02 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Heat | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Suns | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Heat | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.96 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.89 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Heat | 50c | 4,997$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.81 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 52c | 4,976$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.47 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Suns | 32c | 4,962$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.52 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-0.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Suns vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Suns vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Suns vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.