TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2001…29b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$20.83
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+180.6%+$72.22
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$71.46
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+154.3%+$34.39
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+102.8%+$35.38
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.56
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$23.53
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.13
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.31
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.86
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+150%+$25.55
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.02
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eaglesbacked Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Idaho Vandals vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mercer Bears vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.23
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+48.1%+$6.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.97
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs petardka (BO3)backed petardka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+43.3%+$7.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.