MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a6a8e57401c3359f6683972db5dbbf0f084e5d483b54e81759aa7ba5757fc7

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Washington Nationals
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $273,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $316,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	38,000$21,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,683.93	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles	58c	33,912$19,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,262.23	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals	48c	33,333$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,999.84	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	20,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,199.89	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals	48c	17,777$8,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,466.26	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals	42c	16,188$6,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,798.92	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	48c	15,261$7,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,314.1	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	14c	12,581$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,823.69	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals	35c	10,570$3,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,649.56	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	124	57.3%71 W · 53 L	+7.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	58c	9,972$5,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,145.24	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals	46c	9,585$4,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,409.07	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	9,091$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,090.91	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	9,031$4,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,334.99	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals	43c	8,682$3,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,764.97	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals	23c	7,028$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,611.31	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	46c	6,932$3,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,201.24	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals	24c	5,187$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.86	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.99	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	3,234$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551.35	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals	45c	2,996$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.13	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Washington Nationals	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	2,400$1,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.19	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Nationals	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	705	46.8%330 W · 375 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	1,973$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.63	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals	1c	1,800$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	1,761$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.7	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Baltimore Orioles	67c	1,506$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.7	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	1,485$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.32	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals	18c	1,287$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.59	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals	2c	1,264$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	1,216$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.93	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals	46c	1,200$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	44c	1,191$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.18	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Nationals	28c	1,161$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.49	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	18c	1,078$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.72	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals	12c	1,039$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.19	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	237	54%128 W · 109 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals	42c	966$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.72	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Washington Nationals	36c	862.07$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	191	53.9%103 W · 88 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Washington Nationals	18c	800$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	192	46.9%90 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Baltimore Orioles	51c	784.3$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	208	48.1%100 W · 108 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Baltimore Orioles	72c	680$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.74	475	89.1%423 W · 52 L	+84.9wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+25%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals	29c	605$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.75	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Washington Nationals	40c	600$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.82	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Washington Nationals	46c	532.46$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.93	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	47c	520$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.4	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Washington Nationals	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	266	18.4%49 W · 217 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Washington Nationals	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles	79c	398.19$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.62	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Baltimore Orioles	75c	377.41$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.67	503	37.2%187 W · 316 L	-42.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Washington Nationals	26c	350$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	656	51.2%336 W · 320 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	331.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.14	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Washington Nationals	46c	306.52$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Washington Nationals	34c	306.3$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.72	113	31.9%36 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	299.98$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.99	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals	37c	284.27$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.18	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d62…eaf3backed Washington Nationals	46c	280.43$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Baltimore Orioles	52c	276.32$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals	20c	263.74$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	8c	257.61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals	46c	241$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.86	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals	48c	235.13$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.86	253	51.8%131 W · 122 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles	54c	233.29$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.31	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals	41c	220$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.2	786	49.1%386 W · 400 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Baltimore Orioles	54c	219.81$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.11	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals	46c	210$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.6	415	49.2%204 W · 211 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Washington Nationals	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Washington Nationals	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	44.7%71 W · 88 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Washington Nationals	44c	204.91$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	42cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Washington Nationals	46c	203.91$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.8	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	381	45.4%173 W · 208 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	194.34$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.34	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	193$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.71	449	53.7%241 W · 208 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals	46c	189.7$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.26	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	181	54.7%99 W · 82 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Washington Nationals	28c	179.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	339	34.5%117 W · 222 L	-9.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Washington Nationals	22c	175$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	950	41.5%394 W · 556 L	-48.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals	47c	160$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Washington Nationals	47c	152.42$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.64	2,203	50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L	+29.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	147.41$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.28	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Baltimore Orioles	64c	134$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.83	445	56.9%253 W · 192 L	+27.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	132.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.33	181	57.5%104 W · 77 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals	39c	131.6$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.83	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…3586backed Washington Nationals	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f3…135abacked Washington Nationals	10c	112$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals	13c	110.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	12c	105.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Washington Nationals	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	99.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	736	53%390 W · 346 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Washington Nationals	22c	96.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	310	32.9%102 W · 208 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f43…f730backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Washington Nationals	48c	93.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event