TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f43…f730

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$113.28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.77
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$10.95
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-81.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.85
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+496.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,092.9%+$240.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Arouca vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$52.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.