TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,354,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,388,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,354,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked San Francisco Giants46c164,408$75,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,627.6750153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c109,243$55,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,529.3143647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed San Francisco Giants51c97,181$49,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,562.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks50c91,034$45,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,517.2441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants12c77,682$9,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,321.8485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c75,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,199.9477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked San Francisco Giants52c64,719$33,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,444.794847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c60,531$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,530.5898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants34c39,716$13,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,369.62,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants49c34,444$16,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,877.5638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed San Francisco Giants45c29,752$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50014042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants46c26,177$11,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,979.314,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c23,792$12,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,446.533,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks79c23,270$18,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.661,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed San Francisco Giants45c18,715$8,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,421.625276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants47c16,430$7,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,774.081,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c16,313$6,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,425.22,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c13,070$7,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.641,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c99…1d11backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c11,309$6,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,202.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60df…2e19backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,788$5,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,962.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c29…1ba5backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,700$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed San Francisco Giants49c10,500$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,12055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf9…e66fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,471$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,816.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd54…19b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,466$5,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8244…338abacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,440$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…52d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,393$5,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…d9d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,220$5,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,701.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f43…781abacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c10,157$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fb…0b9dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c9,771$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c9,700$5,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6566653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed San Francisco Giants49c9,323$4,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,568.115248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants48c8,201$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.151,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c7,832$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.6121147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants31c7,699$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.0211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,57024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants36c6,800$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9328042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants12c5,659$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.991,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c5,289$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.773265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff4b…0b1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2009560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c4,850$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32844744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants25c4,848$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.2512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c4,545$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.4537953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c4,500$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.55,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c4,060$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.252,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff5b…e067backed San Francisco Giants63c3,885$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c3,861$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.33743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c3,238$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.6628944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c3,016$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.812,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants49c2,294$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.338,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c2,123$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.9389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked San Francisco Giants48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed San Francisco Giants49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c1,800$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8526,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed San Francisco Giants8c1,475$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0410547.6%50 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ff…6754backed San Francisco Giants45c1,319$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c1,317$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.693154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.795457.4%31 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c1,283$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.1177951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants49c1,230$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.992,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed San Francisco Giants56c1,224$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3123036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants36c1,176$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.081,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed San Francisco Giants57c1,167$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.2821146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c1,142$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants18c1,120$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.641,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed San Francisco Giants2c1,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52825240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,067$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.3473748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c1,065$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.063,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked San Francisco Giants33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c999.97$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.141,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants38c869.44$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.538,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants43c854.19$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.768,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c823.93$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.731,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants48c818$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.641,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c812.18$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.094841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c787.57$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.917343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked San Francisco Giants50c777.42$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7110145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd7…7336backed San Francisco Giants29c770.85$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c759.01$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9620455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c702.71$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.272,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2418658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants36c568.42$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.691,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked San Francisco Giants54c563.1$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3270154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed San Francisco Giants11c560.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1171850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c546.59$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8351547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed San Francisco Giants48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed San Francisco Giants40c499.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6319442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c495.18$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8415949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.