Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec14bfc24a95f72ba3e5a38c2bccbd0e138af80b4e0c3038ee0248fc6940fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,951,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,958,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,951,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 46c | 1,682,651$768,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914,348.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 54c | 369,986$199,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,993.19 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 55c | 222,222$122,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,222.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 191,088$103,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,187.63 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 54c | 180,000$97,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 55c | 116,009$63,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,759.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 54c | 68,100$36,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,774 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 44c | 67,014$29,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,528 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 58,951$31,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,833.27 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 58,235$30,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,632.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 55c | 50,660$27,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,689.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 55c | 40,000$21,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 54c | 33,750$18,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,225 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 54c | 23,152$12,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,502.08 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 55c | 22,500$12,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,375 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 55c | 22,500$12,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,375 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 14,929$8,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,335.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 12,888$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.79 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 23c | 12,553$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.54 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 54c | 11,350$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 10,441$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.29 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 7,046$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 54c | 6,909$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.89 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 6,400$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 5,791$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.12 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 4c | 5,744$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 55c | 5,050$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 54c | 4,893$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.2 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 4,478$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.8 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked No | 54c | 4,400$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 5c | 4,000$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 3,988$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.36 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 3,837$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.63 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 55c | 3,571$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 42c | 3,080$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,569$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 2,473$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.78 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 2,434$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.78 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 55c | 2,409$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 56c | 2,368$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 56c | 2,337$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.35 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 1,840$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.4 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 1,740$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.87 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 55c | 1,600$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 57c | 1,421$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 34c | 1,406$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.02 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 1,288$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.83 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,162$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.93 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.21 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 1,045$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.21 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked No | 58c | 1,040$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 56c | 1,040$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 56c | 1,040$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 45c | 950$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 928.78$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.19 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 766.76$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.88 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 26c | 755.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 41c | 728.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 663$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.69 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 56c | 648.15$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 15c | 638.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 56c | 624$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 56c | 624$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 56c | 603.01$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.83 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 66c | 585.63$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 56c | 560$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked No | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.