Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2970bce36f53463e26fbfcba1661d0c5e244c630438b1a4b7bc6c95ed89158fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 3c | 4,900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,309$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,150$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 75c | 2,339$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.36 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 2,153$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 56c | 2,141$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 2,139$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.93 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,952$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.27 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 79c | 1,539$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 1,303$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.31 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,153$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 3c | 1,042$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +120%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 972$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 73c | 536.93$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 530$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 489$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 39c | 452.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 399.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 23c | 263$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 78c | 239$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked No | 73c | 198.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 7c | 197.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 74c | 180.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 71c | 166.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 161.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 161.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 126.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 114.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c4…eb56backed Yes | 59c | 28.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 76c | 28.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 27.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…53f7backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.