Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576511d679b03c4a5262f3eb0308c4239c7793b6209dfac74d58da43c139fb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbe3…d0c9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 69c | 5,391$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 4,663$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.17 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 4,564$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 4,190$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 80c | 1,696$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.13 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,475$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 14c | 1,379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…1141backed Yes | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 908.21$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 678$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 546.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 536.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 497.13$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 385.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 23c | 378.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 32c | 299.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 280.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 69c | 280.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 31c | 280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 31c | 258.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 227.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 227.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 191$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 17c | 189.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 185.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 63c | 148$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 68c | 144$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 62c | 125.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 120.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 105.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 100.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 77.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 59c | 66.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 62.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 64c | 59.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 61c | 56.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 73c | 54.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…8197backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 68c | 39.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 32c | 31.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 70c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 76c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.