MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ede1242e8140eaa3e605c82b699e1c4b6d1c5204e3f822bab7b5ed9c33ef9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 245,605$129,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,398.35 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 200,000$95,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,999.95 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 18,488$8,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,395.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.24 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 9,886$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 9,300$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.27 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 7,792$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 5,373$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 5,373$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 5,373$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…2cf0backed Over | 44c | 5,253$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 5,015$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 3,755$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.18 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c32…82ccbacked Under | 52c | 3,078$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 2,669$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.31 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 45c | 2,302$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.27 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 2,295$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.81 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 2,158$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.26 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 2,057$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.01 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 1,996$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 52c | 1,987$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.89 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Over | 47c | 1,788$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 1,787$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.03 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 57c | 1,561$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.49 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 44c | 1,471$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.06 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 1,442$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.79 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,431$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 43c | 1,429$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.03 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,376$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 1,320$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 40c | 1,244$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.5 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 42c | 1,224$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.75 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 1,147$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.71 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,027$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 945.59$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.68 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 927$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Over | 50c | 922$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 904.84$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.57 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 41c | 902.31$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.26 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 807.3$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.78 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 719.8$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 48c | 627.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.95 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 598$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 44c | 590.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 43c | 561$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 489$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.84 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 50c | 477$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 46c | 460.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 42c | 433.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 42c | 433.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 42c | 423.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 402$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 400.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 57c | 393.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 353.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.3 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 322.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 47c | 303.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 48c | 302.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Under | 59c | 257.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 243.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 48c | 231.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 45c | 217.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 212.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 203$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 45c | 190$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…cf83backed Under | 55c | 188.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 55c | 177.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 52c | 170.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 48c | 132.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 39c | 112.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 108.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis CardinalsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.