MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08dbcab148cf8f1b25ed4da03eaa4107ffba59959f1c4673eef0e1db2a70445b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $700,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 139,724$79,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,337.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 129,554$59,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,954 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 66,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 38,309$16,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,539.79 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000.22 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 23,955$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,105.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 23,330$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 18,000$8,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,980 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 15,871$8,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,094 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 14,829$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.21 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 14,629$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 14,467$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 14,444$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 12,385$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.32 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 11,819$6,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 10,900$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,155$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.24 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 8,491$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 8,072$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 7,153$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.95 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 6,739$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 6,255$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 5,976$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.85 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 5,690$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 4,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 4,492$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 3,982$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.25 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,267$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 3,216$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,872$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.61 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,843$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.84 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,803$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.53 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,795$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.91 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 2,519$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.12 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,456$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,336$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.94 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,302$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.01 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,244$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 2,207$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,156$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,129$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.5 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.13 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,947$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.38 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,663$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.93 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,606$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,529$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.53 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 1,470$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.75 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,455$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,453$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.24 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.12 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,328$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,249$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.84 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,168$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.06 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,099$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.4 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,075$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.08 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,039$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.36 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 997.78$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.91 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…5228backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 922.26$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 909.13$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.03 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 829$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 771.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 744.84$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.97 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 701$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 681.27$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.98 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 674.64$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 659.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 639.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.66 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 609.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 600.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.27 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 595.72$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 576.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 572.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.