MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cdbda08fd72e73c65090ec1c7d4542a78c108408838293f4479e7e59a083426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 54c | 40,057$21,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,704.27 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 14,311$6,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,669.2 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 7,528$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 6,806$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 44c | 2,599$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.4 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 2,300$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 2,113$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,794$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,346$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 1,237$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.64 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 1,194$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.97 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 1,047$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 50c | 1,007$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 963.33$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.83 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 898.99$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 798$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 45c | 779$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.45 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 768.32$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 595$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 592.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 45c | 492.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.17 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 477.85$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 444.8$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 50c | 379.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 48c | 342.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Under | 44c | 321.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 44c | 304$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 54c | 222.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 54c | 221.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 44c | 180.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 65c | 179.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 42c | 157.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 59c | 153.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 146.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 44c | 143.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 113.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 58c | 108.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 39c | 107.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 107.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 91.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 75c | 78.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Under | 43c | 78.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 44c | 71.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 60c | 68.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Under | 64c | 63.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 44c | 62.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 62.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 55.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 46c | 53.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 62c | 49.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 46c | 47.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 46.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 50c | 44.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 42.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 45c | 40.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 58c | 36.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 29c | 36.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 55c | 35.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 51c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 45c | 27.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 58c | 25.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…7350backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Under | 60c | 21.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 50c | 20.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Over | 63c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.