MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d66579ddd12a5cd1b26500f6faaab0d44a8e119b1f2a07332ff7326780bf7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $632,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $662,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 300,219$153,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,107.42 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 168,911$82,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,262.96 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 36,000$17,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,639.82 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 35,123$17,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,117.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 27,239$15,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,570.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 26,235$12,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,855.29 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 19,126$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125.7 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 13,803$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 13,257$6,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.27 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 11,622$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 9,500$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,638$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 8,506$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.92 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 8,126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 5,051$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.65 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,211$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.05 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,164$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 4,159$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 4,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.98 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,810$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 3,727$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.15 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…8f9dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 3,469$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,298$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,109$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.84 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,616$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.87 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,515$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,435$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.29 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,277$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.92 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,250$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.79 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 2,178$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.89 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,994$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,915$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,804$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,771$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,513$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 1,480$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,454$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.04 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,415$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.1 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,373$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,310$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.9 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 1,279$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,265$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.94 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 1,224$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 1,203$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,131$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,121$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.31 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,100$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,093$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.57 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…33ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 944$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…b7fcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 910$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 823.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 821.9$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.43 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 811.34$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 765.69$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.19 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 755$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 744.27$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 714.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 672.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 661.12$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.06 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 655.88$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 638.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 576.77$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 574.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 573$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.93 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 566.76$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 541.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3fa2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…ca38backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 517.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 507.24$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.