MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc678ff155c9ca5defb0fec1955ea74524fe065a396fdb01f32eb4bbe41d7e592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 55,555$24,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,110.8 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 50,279$21,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,658.92 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 38,375$21,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,849.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.99 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 26,316$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.9 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 20,298$11,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,366.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 16,102$8,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 15,584$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.13 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 12,887$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.14 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 11,167$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.26 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 10,547$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.7 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 9,798$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,584.86 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 8,401$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 6,237$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 6,034$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 5,433$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.63 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 4,355$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,856$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,597$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.08 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 2,420$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 2,381$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.29 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,712$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.93 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,670$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.91 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,650$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,639$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.35 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,606$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,580$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,530$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.98 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,530$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,347$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.14 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,345$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,212$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.48 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,178$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.62 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,120$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 991.16$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.93 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 897.1$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 886.36$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.36 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 824.96$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 800.06$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 779.94$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 763.39$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 751.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 746.94$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 723.96$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 723.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 684.21$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 660$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 642.6$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 640$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.34 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 637.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 580.45$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 567.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 555.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 488.76$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 462.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.64 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 442.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 433.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 427.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 413$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.76 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 407$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 377.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 358.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 346.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 344.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 339.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 335.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 334.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 307.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 302.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 272.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 271.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 269$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 267.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…0b60backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 256.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.